Precarious Lull as AFC/M23 Consolidates Positions in Buhimba-Kazinga-Katoy Triangle

NORTH KIVU March 4, 2026 - A temporary calm was reported on Wednesday, March 4, 2026, in the Buhimba-Kazinga-Katoy triangle, spanning Masisi and Walikale territories in North Kivu, following several days of intense clashes between AFC/M23 rebels and the FARDC, supported by Wazalendo forces. Local sources indicate that fighting has been largely silent since Tuesday afternoon, after AFC/M23 recaptured Kazinga. This strategic area connects multiple localities in both Masisi and Walikale and has experienced significant population displacement due to recent hostilities. Despite the lull, the situation remains highly volatile. Observers report that rebel reinforcements were seen moving from Nyabiondo and Kasopo towards Buhimba and Kazinga, and from Kasenyi towards Katoy. Security sources confirmed the movements but provided no details on the scale or objectives. Analysts warn that these troop movements may signal the next phase of rebel offensives against government positions or attempts to seize additional surrounding localities, raising fears of a renewed escalation in fighting and a worsening humanitarian situation in this part of North Kivu.